Eredivisie · Sep 05, 2026 20:00

Ajax
Netherlands
VS

PSV Eindhoven
Netherlands
Betting Verdict
3/4
Sources
DRAW
Pick
100%
Confidence
x
Odds

3 sources agree - Strong recommendation


ML (0)

Odds

Stats

Watched
Ajax
Netherlands
P50
W/D/L26/13/11
GF/GA104/66
CS14
Form: 8W 2D 0L
ATK 79% DEF 41% OVR 65%
Paul Reverson (50)Caio Henrique (50)Kennynho Kasanwirjo (50)
PSV Eindhoven
Netherlands
P50
W/D/L33/7/10
GF/GA142/76
CS8
Form: 7W 2D 1L
ATK 84% DEF 32% OVR 61%
Nick Olij (50)Kiliann Sildillia (50)Ryan Flamingo (50)
Goal Trends
AI Predictions 1
Trusted Models (>50% acc) 1
AWAY
Pick
34.9%
Home
28.0%
Draw
37.1%
Away
2.4-2.1
Score
Brain Engine 72% 2.4-2.1 H:0% D:0% A:0%
2.4-2.1
Consensus
34.9%
Home
28.0%
Draw
37.1%
Away
Over/Under Markets
Both Teams To Score
71%
Yes
100%
No
Correct Score Probabilities
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
1-1
5.9%
3-2
5.4%
2-3
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
3-3
3.9%
2-0
3.2%
4-2
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-4
2.7%
0-1
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-3
2.2%
3-4
2.1%
0-3
2.0%
4-0
1.4%
5-2
1.4%
5-1
1.3%
0-0
1.2%
2-5
1.2%
4-4
1.2%
0-4
1.0%
1-5
1.0%
5-3
1.0%
3-5
0.9%
5-0
0.6%
4-5
0.5%
5-4
0.5%
0-5
0.4%
5-5
0.2%
Market Tips
MarketSelectionProbability
O/U Over 1.5 93.9%
O/U Over 2.5 76.3%
O/U Over 3.5 65.7%
O/U Over 4.5 46.7%
STRONG
BET · 72% confidence
Sources: central_brain, odds, stability
Value Edge: 29.5%

No player data available yet. Player stats become available 30 minutes before kickoff.

Head-to-Head

Ajax
28.6%
4 Wins
5 D

PSV Eindhoven
35.7%
5 Wins
May 02, 2026 Ajax 2-2 PSV Eindhoven
Sep 21, 2025 PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Ajax
Mar 30, 2025 PSV Eindhoven --2 Ajax
Mar 30, 2025 PSV Eindhoven --2 Ajax
Nov 02, 2024 Ajax 3-2 PSV Eindhoven
Nov 02, 2024 Ajax 3-2 PSV Eindhoven
Feb 03, 2024 Ajax 1-1 PSV Eindhoven
Feb 03, 2024 Ajax 1-1 PSV Eindhoven
Oct 29, 2023 PSV Eindhoven 5-2 Ajax
Apr 30, 2023 Ajax 1-1 PSV Eindhoven